Analysts Think This $2 AI Stock Has 57% Potential Upside

We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared towards traders with an extremely high risk appetite.

Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.

Penny Stock of the Day: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: BBAI)

Today’s penny stock pick is the information technology company, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: BBAI).

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions. It offers national security, supply chain management, and digital identity and biometrics solutions. The company also provides data ingestion, data enrichment, data processing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, predictive analytics, and predictive visualization solutions and services. It serves national defense and intelligence agencies, border protection, transportation security, manufacturing, distribution and logistics, travel, entertainment, and tourism sectors.

Website:  https://bigbear.ai

Latest 10-k report:  https://ir.bigbear.ai/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001628280-24-011538/0001628280-24-011538.pdf

Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 2 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for BBAI in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $3.00, which is nearly 57% upside from current levels.

Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:

• The company was awarded a five-year $165.15 million contract with the U.S. Army. This includes transitioning 15 legacy systems into an intelligent automation platform.
• The company was also recently awarded a $2.4 billion contract as a subcontractor to Concept Solutions, LLC for the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).

On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…

Bullish Indications

#1 Breakout From Consolidation Area: The daily chart shows that the stock was consolidating within a price range for the past several weeks. This is marked as a purple color rectangle. Currently the stock has broken out of the consolidation area with a high volume. This is a possible bullish indication.

#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.

#3 Price above MAs: The stock is currently above its 50-day and 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.

#4 MACD above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.

#5 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as a pink color dotted line. This looks like a good area for the stock to move higher. The stock is also trading above its 50-week SMA, indicating that the bulls are gaining control.

#6 Bullish Stoch: The %K line is above the %D line of the stochastic in the weekly chart, indicating possible bullishness.

#7 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart as well, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.

Recommended Trade (based on the charts)

Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for BBAI is above the price of $1.95.

Target Prices: Our first target is $3.00. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $3.70.

Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $1.40. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.

Our target potential upside is 54% to 90%.

For a risk of $0.55, our first target reward is $1.05, and the second target reward is $1.75. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.

In other words, this trade offers 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.

Potential Risks / Red Flags:

1. The company has a history of net losses.
   

   BBAI – Consolidated Statements of Operations

2. The company has ongoing legal proceedings. As of December 31, 2023, the Company has accrued $2,250 related to various ongoing legal disputes.
3. The company has customer concentration risk. Three customers comprised 49% of BBAI’s revenue for the twelve months ended December 31, 2023. As of December 31, 2023, the company had supported these customers for more than five years.
4. Some customers and other business partners are affiliated with the company’s directors, or those who hold shares of the company’s capital stock, or both. Conflicts of interest may arise because of such relationships.
5. Some of the company’s contracts with government agencies involve classified programs, which may limit investor insight into portions of BBAI’s business.
6. Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid significant compensation.
   

   BBAI – Executive Compensation

As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!

Happy Trading!

Trades of the Day Research Team

READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.

Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.

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Source: Trades of the Day