We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared toward traders with an extremely high risk appetite.
Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.
Penny Stock of the Day: Precigen, Inc. (NASDAQ: PGEN)
Today’s penny stock pick is the clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Precigen, Inc. (NASDAQ: PGEN).
Precigen, Inc. operates as a discovery and clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops gene and cell therapies using precision technology to target diseases in therapeutic areas of immuno-oncology, autoimmune disorders, and infectious diseases. It operates through two segments, Biopharmaceuticals and Exemplar. The company offers therapeutic platforms consisting of UltraCAR-T to provide chimeric antigen receptor T cell therapies for cancer patients; AdenoVerse immunotherapy, which utilizes a library of proprietary adenovectors for gene delivery of therapeutic effectors, immunomodulators, and vaccine antigen; and ActoBiotics for specific disease modification.
It also develops programs based on the UltraCAR-T platform, including PRGN-3005 in Phase 1b clinical trial to treat advanced ovarian, fallopian tube, or primary peritoneal cancer; PRGN-3006 in Phase 1b trial for patients with relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia and high-risk myelodysplastic syndromes; and PRGN-3007 in Phase 1/1b trial for the treatment of advanced receptor tyrosine kinase-like orphan receptor 1-positive, hematologic, and solid tumors.
In addition, the company is developing programs based on the AdenoVerse immunotherapy platform comprising PRGN-2009 in Phase 2 trial for patients with HPV-associated cancer; and PRGN-2012 in Phase ½ trial to treat recurrent respiratory papillomatosis, as well as AG019, which is based on the ActoBiotics platform and in Phase 1b/2a trial, to treat type 1 diabetes mellitus. Further, it provides UltraPorator, a proprietary electroporation device; and develops research models and services for healthcare research applications. The company was formerly known as Intrexon Corporation and changed its name to Precigen, Inc. in February 2020.
Website: https://precigen.com/
Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for PGEN in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $6.00, which is nearly 436% upside from current levels.
Analysts | Source: TipRanks.com
Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:
- The company recently completed its Biologics License Application (BLA) submission to the FDA for PRGN-2012, a potential first FDA-approved treatment for adults with Recurrent Respiratory Papillomatosis.
- Rumors of a potential buyout.
On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…
Bullish Indications
#1 Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has been forming a falling wedge pattern for the past several months. These are marked as purple color lines. It has typically taken support at the bottom of the wedge before bouncing back. The stock has currently broken out from the falling wedge pattern and is currently moving higher. Once the stock breaks out of the falling wedge pattern, it could move higher.
PGEN – Daily Chart
#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.
#3 Price above MA: The stock is currently above its 50-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.
#4 MACD above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
#5 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as a pink color dotted line. This is a possible bullish indication.
PGEN – Weekly Chart
#6 Bullish Stoch: The %K line is above the %D line of the stochastic in the weekly chart, indicating possible bullishness.
#7 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart as well, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for PGEN is above the price of $1.15.
Target Prices: Our first target is $2.00. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $2.50.
Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $0.70. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 74% to 117%.
For a risk of $0.45, our first target reward is $0.85, and the second target reward is $1.35. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Potential Risks / Red Flags:
- The company has a history of net losses. As of December 31, 2023, the company had an accumulated deficit of $2.0 billion.
PGEN – Consolidated Statements of Operations
- In October 2020, several shareholder class action lawsuits were filed in the United States District Court for the Northern District of California on behalf of certain purchasers of the Company’s common stock. The complaints name as defendants the Company and certain of its current and former officers. The plaintiffs’ claims challenged disclosures about the MBP program from May 10, 2017 to March 1, 2019. The shareholder class action lawsuit was resolved with a settlement on December 31, 2022.
- Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid significant compensation.
PGEN – Executive Compensation
- PGEN has historically been controlled and principally funded by Randal J. Kirk, the company’s Executive Chairman, and Mr. Kirk’s affiliates, including Third Security. As of February 15, 2024, Mr. Kirk and shareholders affiliated with him beneficially owned approximately 39 percent of the company’s voting stock. This concentration of ownership control may result in management acting in their own best interests and not necessarily those of other shareholders.
- The company has engaged in transactions with companies in which Randal J. Kirk, PGEN’s Executive Chairman, and his affiliates have an interest.
- The company has never commercialized a product, currently has no active sales force, and may lack the necessary expertise, personnel, and resources to successfully commercialize its product candidates.
As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!
Happy Trading!
Trades of the Day Research Team
READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.
Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.
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Source: Trades of the Day