This High Risk / High Reward Stock Just Broke Out

We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared towards traders with an extremely high risk appetite.

Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.

Penny Stock of the Day: Velo3D, Inc. (NYSE: VLD)

Today’s penny stock pick is the metal additive three-dimensional printers producer, Velo3D, Inc. (NYSE: VLD).

Velo3D, Inc. printers enable the production of components for space rockets, jet engines, fuel delivery systems, and other high value metal parts, which it sells or leases to customers for use in their businesses. It offers Flow, a proprietary software platform, which scans part designs for geometrical features; Sapphire and Sapphire XC printers; Assure, a quality control system software platform that includes process metrologies; and Intelligent Fusion, an underlying manufacturing process that unifies and manages the information flow, sensor data from approximately 950 sensors, and the advanced printing technology for precision control of the entire print. The company also provides support services. Its customers range from small- and medium-sized enterprises to Fortune 500 companies in the space, aviation, defense, energy, and industrial markets.

Website:  https://www.velo3d.com

Latest 10-k report:  https://sec.report/Document/0001628280-22-007442

Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 2 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for VLD in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $5.70, which is nearly 20% upside from current levels.

VLD – Analysts | Source: TipRanks.com

Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:

  • The news that Kevton Technologies purchased seven of the company’s Sapphire printers.
  • Hedge Funds Increased Holdings by 1.4M Shares Last Quarter.

    VLD – Hedge Funds | Source: TipRanks.com

  • Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest exchange-traded funds, added to her existing stakes in Velo3D.

On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…

Bullish Indications

#1 Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has currently broken out a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is marked as purple color lines. A symmetrical triangle pattern represents a period of consolidation before the price breaks out. This is typically formed when there is indecision in the price movements and uncertainty among the buyers and sellers. Once a breakout from the upper trend line occurs, it usually signifies the start of a new bullish trend.

VLD – Daily Chart

#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.

#3 Price above MA: The stock is currently above its 50-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.

#4 Bullish RSI: The RSI is above 50 and moving higher, indicating possible bullishness.

#5 Bullish Aroon: The value of Aroon Up (orange line) is above 70 while Aroon Down (blue line) is below 30. This indicates bullishness.

#6 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as a pink color dotted line. This is a possible bullish indication.

VLD – Weekly Chart

#7 Bullish Stoch: The %K line is above the %D line of the stochastic in the weekly chart as well, indicating possible bullishness.

Recommended Trade (based on the charts)

Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for VLD is above the price of $4.80.

Target Prices: Our first target is $6.00. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $7.20.

Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss below $4.00. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.

Our target potential upside is 25% to 50%.

For a risk of $0.80, our first target reward is $1.20, and the second target reward is $2.40. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.

In other words, this trade offers 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.

Potential Risks / Red Flags:

  1. The company has a history of net losses. VLD reported net losses of $107.1 million and $21.8 million for the years ended December 31, 2021, and 2020, respectively.

    VLD – Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Loss

  2. The additive manufacturing industry is competitive. The company may face increasing competition in many aspects of its business, which could impact its operating results.
  3. Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid significant compensation.

As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!

Happy Trading!

Trades of the Day Research Team

READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.

Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.

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Source: Trades of the Day