Tara’s Breakout Stock Alert: Encompass Health (EHC)

One of the United States’ largest providers of post-acute healthcare services, Encompass Health Corp (NYSE: EHC) seems to be poised for a price surge as per its latest charts.

Bullish Indications

#1 Falling Wedge Breakout: As you can see from the daily chart, the stock has been trading within a falling wedge pattern during the past few months. This is marked in the daily chart in purple color. Currently, the stock has broken out of the falling wedge pattern. A Falling Wedge Pattern is a bullish pattern. Once the stock breaks out from it, it has the potential to move further up.

#2 MACD Above Signal Line: The daily chart shows that the MACD line (blue color) has crossed above the signal line (orange color). This is a possible bullish setup.

#3 Above MA: In the daily chart, the stock is currently trading above its 50-day SMA.

This implies that the bulls are slowly gaining control.

#4 Bullish Stochastic: The %K (blue) line of stochastic is currently above the %D (Orange) line.

This is a possible bullish indication.

#5 Bullish RSI: The RSI is currently above 50 and moving up, indicating possible bullishness.

#6 Support At Fibonacci Level: Usually, after an up-move, stocks retrace to any of the key Fibonacci levels before surging back again.

EHC had taken support at the 50% Fibonacci support level of the upmove and now near the 61.8% Fibonacci support level, as seen in the weekly chart. This seems like a good point to bounce up higher.

#7 Flag Pattern: As you can see from the weekly chart, the stock was in a strong uptrend after which it started consolidating and was in a narrow range. This is a classic flag pattern and is marked in the chart in purple color. A Flag is a continuation pattern. Whenever a stock breaks out of the flag pattern, it typically continues its previous trend (uptrend in this case). Currently, the stock is trading near the upper rail of the flag pattern and appears to be ready for a breakout.

#8 Oversold RSI: The RSI is moving up from oversold levels in the weekly chart. This is a possible bullish sign.

#9 Bullish Stochastic: The %K (blue) line of stochastic is currently above the %D (Orange) line. This is a possible bullish indication.

Recommended Trade (based on the charts)

Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for EHC is above the last candle in the daily chart. This translates to a price above $62.90.

TP: Our target prices are $68 and $75 in the next 3-6 months.

SL: To limit risk, place stop-loss at $59.80. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.

Our target potential upside is 8% to 19% in the next 3-6 months. For a risk of $3.10, our target rewards are $5.10 and $12.10. This is a 1:2 and 1:4 risk-reward trade.

In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 4x more potential upside than downside.

Risks to Consider

The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down from the falling wedge pattern with a high volume. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in the sector.

Happy Trading!


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