Robert Friedland has a controversial reputation in the world of precious metals…
His company, Ivanhoe Mines, went to the ends of the Earth – Mongolia, of all places – to develop the Oyu Tolgoi mine. Today, it has some of the planet’s largest reserves of copper.
He is known for speaking his mind, regardless of whether it’s what people want to hear.
And last month, he made headlines yet again when he told the Mining Journal that palladium could become “more valuable than gold.”
It sounds crazy. But there actually might be something to this wacky idea.
Let me explain…
I know what you’re probably thinking right now…
But Steve, palladium isn’t a precious metal. Isn’t palladium the stuff that makes dirty cars less… well, dirty? And aren’t we supposed to be driving more electric vehicles in the future? And wouldn’t that mean we would need less of this stuff, not more of it?
If that sounds like you, you’re correct. And I’m with you.
The natural order of things – in my investing lifetime – has gone something like this…
Platinum is the most expensive precious metal. Gold is in second place, a couple hundred bucks per ounce cheaper. Then, in a distant third place, is palladium.
Consider where things stood at the start of this decade. On January 1, 2010, the price per ounce of each of these commodities looked like this:
The natural order of things was in place. But the gap has been closing, thanks to a crazy 20-year trend…
The price of palladium has gone from $125 an ounce in the late 1990s to nearly $1,100 today. Take a look…
Within the past couple of decades, palladium made the leap from industrial metal to precious metal – and nobody noticed.
Palladium used to be difficult to “cast,” so it wasn’t used in jewelry. But the casting problem has been resolved in recent years, and now palladium can take its place among other precious metals in the jewelry store.
Still, you might think that a metal best known for its use in catalytic converters to make cars less dirty wouldn’t be considered a precious metal…
But how would you define “precious”?
As I mentioned, the price of palladium today is nearly $1,100 an ounce. To put this in perspective…
- The price of platinum is about $840 per ounce today, and
- The price of gold is about $1,220 per ounce.
Don’t you consider both platinum and gold to be precious metals?
Palladium is priced right between them. It’s a precious metal, no question about it.
That still doesn’t address Friedland’s bold statement though. Could palladium become more valuable than gold?
If the recent trend continues, it sure could.
Both metals bottomed around August 15. Gold is up just about $45 an ounce since then. Palladium went up roughly $250 an ounce. If that trend continues, palladium will be more valuable than gold within a few short months.
Either way, the trend is in favor of this precious metal. And given how misunderstood it is by most investors, prices could soar much higher from here.
Source: Daily Wealth