Editor’s note: The following alert uses technical analysis to identify stocks that look headed higher in a relatively short period of time, typically 1-6 months. These are the kind of short-term opportunities Trades Of The Day subscribers hear about daily. Even though our risk is well-defined, these trades aren’t for everyone. As such, if you decide to follow along with the trade below, mind your stop losses and never invest any money you can’t afford to lose.
Maryland-based self-advised real estate investment trust, Chesapeake Lodging Trust (NYSE: CHSP) seems to be poised for a price surge according to its latest charts.
There are quite a few bullish indicators in CHSP’s weekly and daily charts.
Bullish Indications in the Chart
#1 Retest of H&S Pattern Breakout: As you can see from the weekly chart of CHSP below, the stock had broken out of an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. An Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a strong bullish pattern and this was formed in the weekly chart of the stock over a long period of time. After the breakout, the stock retested the breakout levels again and took support at the neckline. This indicates that the stock will continue its upward price surge.
The target price of this Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is typically the difference between the ‘neckline’ and the ‘Head’, from the breakout (neckline) level.
#2 MACD Positive Divergence: From the daily chart of CHSP shown below, it is clear that there is a positive divergence between MACD and price.
This is called as a positive divergence and is marked on the chart below (blue dotted line).
This usually means that the previous trend price will start moving upwards again.
#3 RSI Double Bottom: The Relative Strength Index of CHSP’s daily chart is forming a double bottom pattern. The first bottom has been already formed and the second bottom is currently being formed. A double bottom pattern in RSI is a bullish indication.
#4 Hammer Candlestick: The daily chart of CHSP shows that the latest candlestick is a hammer. This is a bullish candle. The candle had also closed above the support level of the stock, which is yet another bullish indicator.
If you want to get in on this trade, you can purchase shares of CHSP at the current price level of $27.49.
Our target price is arrived at by adding the difference between the price at the neckline and the price at the low of the ‘head’ of the “Inverted Head and Shoulders” pattern in the weekly chart to the price at the neckline. This translates to around $34.17.
To limit risk, place a stop loss below $26.35, which is below the lower gap support line in the daily chart. This is shown in the figure below.
Our target potential upside is 24.3% in the next 6 months. For a risk of $1.14 per share, our target reward is $6.68 per share. In other words, this trade offers nearly 6x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down from the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders pattern. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in its sector.